Horizon 2045
AN AUDACIOUS PROJECT TO END THE NUCLEAR WEAPONS CENTURY
We urgently need to manage the intertwined existential risks of the Anthropocene—the geological era that began with the 1945 Trinity Test and is characterized by humankind’s newfound capacity to destroy itself along with all life on the planet.
Concerns about existential threats have become palpable, as has the desire to solve human-made problems and move to a brighter future. This offers an important opportunity: By considering nuclear weapons in the context of other dangers, we can dismantle conventional wisdom that nuclear weapons are tools for maintaining global stability, drawing new energy to the effort to rid ourselves of them.
What makes Horizon 2045 unique is that we bring a new theory of change. Rather than centering solely on nuclear weapons, our work creates common ground for organizations and thought leaders who share our vision: Humanity can, and will, move beyond the existential challenges we now face. By shifting our sole focus from nuclear challenges to a broader conception of global security, we increase the surface area for collaboration and shared learning. In so doing, we lay the groundwork for a much larger-scale effort.
What would be possible if we broke the stranglehold that nuclear weapons have on our imaginations, our policies, and our shared future?
THE VISION: HORIZON 2045
It’s time to challenge conventional wisdom and chart a new path for global security free from the existential threat of nuclear weapons. Drawing on proven practices for large-scale systems change, Horizon 2045 is advancing a new frontier of thinking by designing, testing, and building momentum for an alternative global security architecture. Based on technical, social, and political cooperation, this “whole of society” initiative engages nontraditional actors—designers, ethicists, philosophers, cultural influencers, and more—to work in partnership with security experts to imagine and ultimately achieve a world without nuclear weapons. While it may take decades, our audacious goal is to rid the world of nuclear weapons by 2045, the 100th anniversary of the first atomic bomb.
What is a whole of society effort?
Whole of society is not a synonym for “everybody.” Rather, a whole-of-society effort is one so audacious and different that entirely new networks, structures, and industries open up to support it. Getting astronauts to the moon took the whole of society, inspiring people across generations, sectors, and geographies to play a role. The goal isn’t to gently tweak a concept or idea. It’s to reshape. To reimagine. To inspire and implement something that never existed but must.
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Theory of Change
Center for Complexity
Horizon 2045 (H2045) is a 25-year initiative to end the nuclear weapons century.
We urgently need to manage the intertwined existential risks of the Anthropocene—the geological era that began with the 1945 Trinity Test and is characterized by humankind’s newfound capacity to destroy itself along with all life on the planet.
Recent research has shown that concerns about existential threats have become palpable, as has the desire to solve human-made problems and move to a brighter future. This offers an important opportunity: By considering nuclear weapons in the context of other dangers, we can dismantle conventional wisdom that nuclear weapons are tools for maintaining global stability, drawing new energy to the effort to rid ourselves of them.
What makes H2045 unique is that we bring a new theory of change. Rather than centering solely on nuclear weapons, our theory of change creates common ground for organizations and thought leaders who share our vision: Humanity can, and will, move beyond the existential challenges we now face. By shifting our sole focus from nuclear challenges to a broader conception of global security, we increase the surface area for collaboration and shared learning. In so doing, we lay the groundwork for a much larger-scale effort.
This document is an invitation to think with us. It is the product of a collaborative effort. It is a snapshot of a work in process. It raises more questions than it answers. It is intended to shake the current paradigm. It uses speculative techniques to bring alternate futures to life. It may cause discomfort. It may cause inspiration.
We think this kind of work is important in shaping debates, changing narratives, and provoking change. We invite you to use this document as a jumping off point for thinking big and long term. It does not need to be read all at once. You may skip to the section that seems most intriguing and start there. What questions does it raise for you? What questions remain to be asked and answered? What answers might you have?
There is a great deal that must be done. In our next phase we will be working to translate these insights into pragmatic solutions. Inspiration and vision light the way for that journey. H2045 will expand to include others in the development of a vision that inspires change.
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After the A-Bomb
Simone Solondz and Center for Complexity
RISD’s Center for Complexity launches Horizon 2045, a 25-year project aimed at eliminating the threat of nuclear war.